Thursday, October 4, 2007

Another Wet Day

* Flood Watch for Today * For today, we will continue to see the onshore flow that will allow for more rain today. The rain will be heavy at times in the afternoon. Some areas may receive 2-3” of rain. The afternoon high will be near 80. For tonight, we’ll have cloudy skies with scattered showers. The low will be in the lower 70’s. The chances of rain will continue for Friday and Saturday. The afternoon high will be in the mid 80’s by the weekend.

Tropics:

Possible Tropical Development (92 L):

There is an area of showers and storms northeast of the Bahamas. There is a chance we could have tropical development in the Bahamas this weekend. The low will move west into the Gulf of Mexico. Some of the computer models show the low becoming a tropical storm by the first of next week. We will be watching this closely, but I don’t see this having an impact on our weather.

Wednesday, October 3, 2007

More Soaking Rains

High pressure to the north and the remnants of an old frontal boundary in the area are providing a very moist easterly flow of air. Moderate to heavy rains affected the area today, most widespread near the coast. Expect more rain to develop on Thursday, and some of it will likely be heavy again. This could result in localized flooding, so please exercise caution on the roads. Shower chances will continue Friday and Saturday, with drier air expected to move in Sunday and Monday. Temperatures will be held down by clouds and rain, with highs struggling to reach 80 on Thursday. A little more sun may peak through at times Friday and Saturday, allowing highs to reach the low to mid 80s.

Tropics:

Low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will move northwest towards the Louisiana coast Thursday and Friday before dissipating.

Low pressure is expected to develop east of the Bahamas Thursday and begin tracking west. The system may become a tropical depression by the end of the week. Upper level steering flow should point this system between south Florida and Cuba and into the southern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend.

A Wet Wednesday

There will be on and off showers through the day. The rain may be heavy at times. Some areas will pick up over 1.00” of rain. The clouds will hold the temperatures down into the lower 80’s. For tonight, we’ll have cloudy skies with scattered showers. The low will be in the lower 70’s. The wet weather will continue for Thursday. The forecast for Thursday will be mostly cloudy with a good chance for rain, with highs in the lower 80’s. The models continue to show the wet weather for Friday and Saturday.

Tropics:

Tropical Development (92 L):

The models are showing that a tropical system will develop over the weekend in the Bahamas or near Cuba. The track of the low should be SW with time, taking the low into the southern Gulf of Mexico. There will be a strong high pressure to build to the north of the low; the high will drive the low to the west. As of right now, I don’t see this being a problem to our area.

Tuesday, October 2, 2007

Occasional Wet Weather

Onshore breezes will continue to bring in clouds and some showers from off the ocean. The breezes will become lighter than they have been, so high surf conditions will improve. Wednesday looks to feature more clouds than sun with a few showers. Highs will reach near 84. Scattered showers can be expected Wednesday night and Thursday, with a low near 70 and highs to near 86. Expect warm and humid conditions for Friday and the weekend with a bit of an onshore breeze continuing. A few showers are possible again Friday, with less chance over the weekend. Highs should reach at least the mid 80s.

Tropics:

Low pressure is moving west of south Florida and is projected to move northwest through the Gulf of Mexico reaching the central or western Gulf coast late this week. Some development into a depression or named storm is possible.

Showers in the Forecast

For today, the clouds will roll into the area. We continue to see the deep northeasterly flow. The northeast winds will allow for the possibility of coastal flooding during the time of high tide. There will be a chance of rain for the coastal areas this afternoon. The high will be in the mid 80’s. For tonight, we’ll have mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Wednesday there will be more clouds than sun with a good chance for showers. The afternoon high will be in the mid 80’s. Thursday will be mostly cloudy with a chance for showers. The high will be near 86.

Tropics:

Possible of tropical development (90 L):

There is a low pressure in south Florida this morning. The low will move west over the next few days. There is a chance that the low could become a tropical system late this week. The low will need to overcome strong upper level winds and a lot of dry air in the Gulf of Mexico.

Monday, October 1, 2007

Some Moisture to Increase

Breezes from the ocean the next couple days will gradually increase moisture levels, resulting in an increase in clouds and then some showers affecting the area. The best chance for showers looks to be Tuesday night and Wednesday. There will be a lingering chance of showers Thursday and possibly beyond as the humidity will return to near-summer levels. Highs Tuesday and Wednesday will be in the low to mid 80s. Lows will start having a hard time dropping below 70 beginning Tuesday night.

Tropics:

An area of disturbed weather in the Bahamas will move west into the Gulf of Mexico and some tropical development is possible. This system is currently projected to arrive on the central or western Gulf coast later in the week.

A Nice Fall Day

For today, there will be a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the lower 80’s. There is a coastal flood advisory and high surf advisory for today. The winds will be strong out of the northeast. Tonight, there will be partly cloudy skies with lows in the mid 60’s. The chances for showers will increase on Tuesday night into Wednesday. A coastal trough will develop that will allow for a better chance for showers along the coast. The afternoon highs for Tuesday and Wednesday will be in the mid 80’s.

Tropics:

A low pressure is off the east coast of Florida that will move into the Gulf of Mexico. The low has a chance to become a tropical system as the low drifts west.