Wednesday, August 1, 2007

August will Start Out Nice

As we start the month of August there will be mostly sunny skies with afternoon temperatures close to seasonal averages of 92. Tonight will be mostly clear with lows near 72. The dry weather will continue into Thursday, with a mix of sun and clouds with highs near 90. The stalled out front that moved through on Monday night will begin drifting back to the north on Friday. With the front in the area there will be scattered storms in the afternoon on Friday and Saturday. The afternoon highs will be near 90. On Sunday, mix of sun and clouds; afternoon highs will be in the lower 90’s.

Tropics: Tropical storm Chantal developed yesterday. As of this morning Chantal is no longer a tropical storm, as it moves off the coast of Nova Scotia. There is an area of low pressure 300 miles east of the Windward Islands. The low is producing limited thunderstorms (convection). There is a lot of dry air in the Caribbean Sea; the dry air will hinder tropical development. If you would like to see the dry air in the Caribbean go to this web site: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-wv.html
The dark area on the water vapor loop is the dry air/sinking air. So, as the tropical wave moves into the Caribbean the dry air will not allow for fast development. As the wave moves into the western Caribbean, conditions may become more favorable for development.